Commanders vs. Buccaneers, Packers vs. Eagles picks: NFL Week 1 odds, picks

Action Network football handicapper Sean Treppedi begins his first season in The Post’s NFL Bettor’s Guide. 

WASHINGTON COMMANDERS (+3.5) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Buccaneers were more stowaways than pirates last season, sneaking into the playoffs by winning a lousy NFC South.

They finished third overall in NFL luck ratings, possessed the worst rushing offense in football and scored just 23 more points than they allowed — demonstrating inconsistencies on both sides of the ball. 

There’s a bounty of uncertainty surrounding Washington after it posted league-low metrics across the board in 2023.

But behind promising rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels and new coach Dan Quinn, the Commanders could have more upside than the same old Bucs and Baker Mayfield.

He’s 14-26-1 against the spread as a favorite and 1-4 straight up in season openers. 

GREEN BAY PACKERS vs. Philadelphia Eagles Over 49 (Friday, Sao Paulo, Brazil)

It’s an international game featuring a pair of well-equipped teams primed to exploit the other’s weakness.

Jordan Love and the Packers seek to show the 25.5 points they averaged in their 6-2 finish last season were substantiated.

Green Bay needs to learn how to stop the run, a problem that cost the defense 128 ground yards per game. 

Then there are the Eagles, who started 10-1, staggered to 11-6 and lost in the first round of the playoffs.

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It’s the biggest botch job in recent memory, which coach Nick Sirianni aims to smoothen out as a fluke.

The Eagles were still a top-10 team in offensive DVOA, and Saquon Barkley now slides in to bolster an efficient rushing attack.

An inept secondary that allowed the second-most air yards was mostly to blame for the drop off.