Jets vs. Texans ‘TNF’ picks, props: Target this same-game parlay

The Texans suffered a significant setback given the announcement that star wide receiver Stefon Diggs will miss the rest of the season following an ACL injury.

Houston is currently the No. 2 in the AFC thanks to a 6-2 start. 

Unfortunately, Diggs’ injury could derail the Texans’ title hopes in a year when they looked like legitimate Super Bowl contenders.

They’re already short at the wide receiver position as Nico Collins remains sidelined with a hamstring injury.

Thus, the Texans must be more pragmatic when they visit the Jets on Thursday night.

Given the injury dilemma, we’ve assembled a four-leg Same Game Parlay on FanDuel that is worth a look. 

Jets vs. Texans same-game parlay

Joe Mixon anytime touchdown (-125, FanDuel)

While Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud has done a tremendous job distributing the ball among his wide receivers, Mixon is getting the bulk of the carries in the backfield. 

The former Bengal is having one of his best years, racking up 503 yards in just five games and averaging 4.9 yards per carry.

Mixon also leads the Texans with six touchdowns and only failed to reach the end zone against the Bears in Week 2, when he left the game with an ankle injury.

With the Texans depleted at wide receiver, look for Mixon to be a focal point for the offense when they get inside the red zone.

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Joe Mixon 60+ rushing yards (-300)

Mixon’s rushing yards prop is available at 81.5, and while Mixon has a decent chance to go Over this number, you always want to exercise some caution when tying plays together in a parlay.

Mixon has amassed 60 or more rushing yards in four of his five games, and the touches should be there, considering that the Texans are also short at running back with Dameon Pierce ruled out (groin injury). 

Using the FTN Fantasy Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) metric, the Jets rank 23rd in stopping the run.

If you’re looking for a prop that offers potential as an escalator, Mixon should be at the top of your list, given this situational spot and the opponent.

C.J. Stroud over 8.5 rushing yards (-300)

The Texans’ injury list will force them to be a bit more creative offensively, and it wouldn’t surprise me if we see the Jets force Stroud to tuck it and escape the pocket on a few occasions. 

According to Pro Football Reference, the Jets’ defense has forced the ninth-highest pressure rate (27.3%), while Stroud has faced the most pressures (89) of any quarterback in the league.

In his last game against the Colts, Stroud had just one carry for a loss of 10 yards. The previous four times he finished with one carry, he recorded at least nine yards in his next game.

Thus, this is a good contrarian spot to go against what we saw last week when facing Indianapolis. 

Even with the negative yardage, Stroud averages 10.5 yards per game with a median of 9.5. 

Based on those numbers, we’re getting a slight value with his rushing prop available at 8.5.

Dalton Schultz 25+ receiving yards (-300)

This might be my favorite prop in this parlay, given Schultz’s ability to be a reliable safety blanket for the Texans when Stroud is under pressure.

Schultz is tied for third in targets (38) with wide receiver Tank Dell, which suggests the Texans are more likely to use their tight ends for check-downs than their running backs.

Given the pressure the Texans’ offensive line has to endure, Stroud averages 2.3 seconds inside the pocket—the second shortest time to throw in the league.

With Stroud quickly getting the ball out of his hands, Schultz has emerged as an excellent option while exceeding 25 receiving yards in five straight games.

As Schultz and Stroud continue to build on their rapport, it’s only natural that the tight end sees a bump in targets with Diggs and Collins sidelined.

Jets vs. Texans same game parlay picks (+408, FanDuel)

• Joe Mixon Any Time Touchdown Scorer
• Joe Mixon 60+ Rushing Yards
• C.J. Stroud Over 8.5 Rushing Yards
• Dalton Schultz 25+ Receiving Yards

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Why Trust New York Post Betting

Michael Arinze handicaps most major sports for the New York Post. He’s cashed two 15-leg teasers in his betting career as well as a 12-leg parlay that included eight Little League World Series games. More recently, he accurately picked finalists in the 2024 European Championships and Copa America.