Betting

College football Week 8 predictions: Picks against the spread

Alabama’s season was over before September began. 

In 128 games leading the Crimson Tide against unranked teams, Nick Saban lost four times. In Kalen DeBoer’s 10th game against an unranked opponent at Alabama, he lost for the fourth time, as the program’s 23-year streak of season-opening wins ended with a humiliating 31-17 loss to Florida State.

The second-year Alabama coach — who accepted the impossible task of following the most successful coach in the sport’s history — was 6-5 against power conference teams, having lost three of his past four games despite being a double-digit favorite in each contest.

So when Susie Conerly, of Guntersville, Ala., was approached outside a gas station by WHNT News 19, she immediately knew what she would do if she won the $1.8 billion Powerball jackpot.

“I’d tell you exactly what I’d do with the first $70 million: I’d pay off Kalen DeBoer and get him the heck out of the University of Alabama,” said Conerly, who added she’d also buy out athletic director Greg Byrne. “They’re ruining our football program.”

A little more than one month later, James Franklin — who was leading the No. 2 team in the nation (Penn State) after last season’s playoff semifinal run — is unemployed after receiving the second-largest buyout ($49 million) in college football history, and DeBoer is leading a team with the second-best odds to win the national championship.

With five straight wins, and a Heisman co-favorite in new quarterback Ty Simpson, the heat is off DeBoer and the crisis in Tuscaloosa is over — for now.

At Alabama, disaster is always one game away, and the Crimson Tide will not stay safe if they continue playing with fire.

Alabama pulled out a three-point win at Georgia despite being shut out in the second half. It spent all but the final minutes of its win over Vanderbilt in a toss-up battle. Then, the Tide escaped with a three-point win at Missouri.

Despite Simpson’s brilliance and an opportunistic defense, Alabama has struggled without the backbone of Saban’s best teams, ranking 92nd in the nation in rushing yards and 76th in rushing yards allowed. Tennessee (+8.5) — which won last year’s meeting in Knoxville — has the talent to take advantage, with the nation’s third-ranked offense (43.4 points per game) averaging over 200 yards per game on the ground.

Powerball drawings are held Monday, Wednesday and Saturday.

alen McMurray #6 of the Tennessee Volunteers reacts in the first half against the Arkansas Razorbacks during their game at Neyland Stadium on October 11, 2025 in Knoxville, Tennessee. Getty Images

Louisville (+13.5) over MIAMI

Louisville quietly has one of the most balanced teams in the nation, featuring the ACC’s top-ranked defense and an offense producing over 32 points per game. The Cards and Canes have traded seven-point wins in the past two seasons, and Louisville hasn’t lost by more than two touchdowns in 25 straight games.

Lsu (+2.5) over VANDERBILT

Defense could carry the Tigers again, but it shouldn’t have to. It’s time for Garrett Nussmeier to prove he’s still worthy of a first-round pick.

Garrett Nussmeier of the LSU Tigers. Ella Hall/LSU/University Images via Getty Images

Georgia Tech (+1.5) over DUKE

Haynes King faces a tough Duke front. Darian Mensah will be tested by a strong Tech secondary. The game could be decided in the third phase, with Georgia Tech’s special teams ranking fourth nationally in efficiency, while the Blue Devils are 102nd.

Oklahoma (-5.5) over SOUTH CAROLINA

The Sooners have allowed four offensive touchdowns through six games. Preseason Heisman candidate LaNorris Sellers has produced two touchdowns in four SEC games and now faces the nation’s top-ranked pass rush.

Ohio State (-25.5) over WISCONSIN

The nation’s 122nd-ranked offense — most recently shut out at home — faces a defense on pace for one of the most dominant seasons ever. It’ll be a miracle if Wisconsin reaches the red zone.

Mississippi head coach Lane Kiffin looks downfield at his team during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Tulane in Oxford, Miss., Saturday, Sept. 20, 2025. AP

Ole Miss (+7) over GEORGIA

The books continue to charge a tax on the Bulldogs as if they’re coming off back-to-back titles. For the second straight season, Georgia (2-4 against the spread) is a juggernaut in name only, a fact that was most evident during Ole Miss’ 28-10 win last season. Georgia is two plays — Tennessee’s missed field goal and the refs’ error in Auburn — from being 1-3 in the SEC. Lane Kiffin’s top-five offense will have its way with a defense that ranks 97th in third-down stops. 

ARKANSAS (+7.5) over Texas A&M

The Aggies hit the road for the first time in more than a month to face a competent offense for the first time since giving up 40 at Notre Dame. The Hogs are certain to surrender at least 35 points, but Bobby Petrino’s fourth-ranked offense has largely met the moment in its past four games — all against potential playoff teams — with three of the losses coming by a combined 10 points. 

Indiana Hoosiers head coach Curt Cignetti watches his team warm up prior to the game against the Indiana State Sycamores at Memorial Stadium. Robert Goddin-Imagn Images

Michigan State (+27.5) over INDIANA

Penn State coaching rumors and an Oregon hangover may distract the Hoosiers, who could also struggle to lock in after last year’s 47-10 win in East Lansing.

Texas Tech (-9.5) over ARIZONA STATE

It doesn’t matter which quarterback starts. The Red Raiders have thrived without Behren Morton, thanks to a solid backup, a strong ground game and perhaps the best defense in school history. The Big 12 favorite is unbeaten in the standings and against the spread.

Oregon (-17) over RUTGERS

Despite facing just one top-70 offense this season — and three ranked below 110th — the Scarlet Knights have allowed an average of 31 points and 419 yards per game. Any hope of the Ducks sleepwalking through this cakewalk disappeared after their first loss of the season.

KENTUCKY (+12.5) over Texas

Mark Stoops has had two weeks to prepare for Arch Manning, whose most impressive performance resulted in the Longhorns scoring one offensive touchdown. Kentucky’s defensive-minded coach has rattled more experienced and confident quarterbacks. 

Southern California head coach Lincoln Riley, left, looks on alongside quarterback Jayden Maiava (14) and wide receiver DJ Jordan (19) during the first half of NCAA college football game against Michigan State, Saturday, Sept. 20, 2025, Los Angeles.

Usc (+9.5) over NOTRE DAME

The Trojans lead the nation in scoring (45.5) and total offense (552.3). Even if USC — coming off a dominant win over Michigan — can’t pull the upset, the back door is always in play for Lincoln Riley’s balanced and efficient attack.

AUBURN (+1.5) over Missouri

Hugh Freeze probably used up all his luck by landing another SEC head coaching job after the escort scandal, but his team is still due for a break after getting hosed on game-changing calls against Oklahoma and Georgia. Even without it, the bright lights of Jordan-Hare — and Auburn’s elite defense — will make Beau Pribula look lost in his first career road start.


Betting on College Football?


Utah (-3.5) over BYU

Only one team will look the part in the fourth Holy War featuring two ranked teams. Cougars true freshman Bear Bachmeier — who has thrown three interceptions in the past two games — is an easy mark for Kyle Whittingham, whose defense ranks fifth nationally in passing yards allowed (152.8), 10th in completion percentage (54.9) and 13th in sack percentage. 

BEST BETS: Tennessee, Ole Miss, Usc.

SEASON: 43-62 (7-14).

2014-24 RECORD: 1,392-1,309-31.

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